Sunday, June 28, 2009

Weekly Outlook

Click here for Wall St. Week Ahead by Reuters.


Click here for US Equity Preview for Monday by Bloomberg.


There are a number of economic reports of note and just a few significant corporate earnings reports scheduled for release this week.


Economic reports for the week include:


Mon. Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index, Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index


Tues. – Weekly Retail Sales reports, S&P/CaseShiller Home Price Index, Chicago Purchasing Manager, Consumer Confidence, NAPM-Milwaukee


Wed. – Weekly EIA energy inventory report, weekly MBA mortgage applications report, Challenger Job Cuts, ADP Employment Change, ISM Manufacturing, ISM Prices, Paid, Construction Spending, Pending Home Sales, Total Vehicle Sales


Thur. – Change in Non-farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings, Initial Jobless Claims, Factory Orders


Fri. – US Markets Closed


Some of the more noteworthy companies that release quarterly earnings this week are:


Mon. – Apollo Group(APOL), H&R Block(HRB)


Tues. – Schnitzer Steel(SCHN)


Wed. – Constellation Brands(STZ), General Mills(GIS)


Thur. – Acuity Brands(AYI)


Fri. – US Markets Closed


Other events that have market-moving potential this week include:


Mon. – The Fed’s Rosengren speaking

Tue. – The Fed’s Bullard speaking, Fed’s Hoenig speaking, Fed’s Yellen speaking, Goldman Sachs Data Center Conference, (TDG) analyst meeting, (BBBY) shareholders meeting, (PBH) shareholders meeting


Wed. – The Fed’s Evans speaking


Thur. – (DDUP) shareholders meeting


Fri. – US Markets Closed


BOTTOM LINE: I expect US stocks to finish the week modestly higher on diminishing financial sector pessimism, short-covering, diminishing credit market angst, quarter-end window dressing, investment manager performance anxiety, lower long-term rates and declining energy prices. My trading indicators are giving mixed signals and the Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the week.

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