Friday, September 12, 2014

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Russia-Ukraine Tensions, Global Growth Fears, Fed Rate Hike Concerns, REIT/Energy Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.14 +10.47%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 145.07 +.40%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.27 +2.83%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 52.89 +10.6%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 123.0 +20.59%
  • Total Put/Call .86 -14.0%
  • NYSE Arms .67 +6.25% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 60.17 +1.89%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 58.50 -.69%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 27.71 -3.77%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 64.24 +.95%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 248.19 +1.95%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 308.91 +1.19%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 23.75 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 22.50 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -14.25 +1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 205.0 +7.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $82.0/Metric Tonne +.12%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 36.20 +.7 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -12.90 -1.2 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.14 +1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -85 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -22 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail sector longs, index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM), (QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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