Thursday, October 16, 2014

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Dovish Fed Commentary, Yen Weakness, Short-Covering, Healthcare/Gaming Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Heavy
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 25.56 -2.53%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.81 -.10%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.66 unch.
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 67.11 -8.25%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 79.0 -18.56%
  • Total Put/Call .98 -25.19%
  • NYSE Arms 1.47 +8.74% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 73.83 -.21%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 78.14 +4.39%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 34.89 +12.87%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 76.94 +4.14%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 279.18 -3.21%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 348.92 +2.34%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 27.25 unch.
  • TED Spread 21.25 -1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -10.75 -.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .03% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 182.0 +4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $80.32/Metric Tonne -2.70%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 18.30 +6.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -54.3 +2.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -22.60 +1.3 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.90 +5 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -48 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -23 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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