Monday, December 01, 2014

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Global Growth Fears, Russia-Ukraine Tensions, Rising Emerging Markets/European Debt Angst, Transport/Alt Energy Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.42 +8.18%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 154.15 -.04%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.37 +4.36%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 68.23 -.44%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 89.0 +20.27%
  • Total Put/Call .97 unch.
  • NYSE Arms 1.19 -4.45% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 62.95 +2.95%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 59.53 +.17%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 28.40 +1.0%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 63.96 +2.59%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 287.55 +5.10%
  • China Blended Corporate Spread Index 328.77 +1.51%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 20.50 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 22.75 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -11.75 -2.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 173.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $71.11/Metric Tonne -.29%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 7.80 +1.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -20.80 +2.1 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -2.7 -3.5 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.81 -3.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -50 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -3 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and added to my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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