Tuesday, March 10, 2015

Stocks Falling Substantially into Final Hour on Fed Rate Hike Concerns, Earnings Worries, Rising European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Tech/Financial Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.61 +10.29%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 135.29 -1.49%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.70 +1.04%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 60.77 +2.34%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 86.0 +14.67%
  • Total Put/Call 1.07 -3.60%
  • NYSE Arms 2.39 +103.88% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 64.80 +1.89%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 709.0 +2.15%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 57.53 +.94%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 20.10 -.64%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 67.32 +3.23%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 412.90 +2.11%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 113.86 +.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 27.25 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 26.0 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -23.5 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 145.0 -5.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $58.15/Metric Tonne -.73%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -50.10 -1.1 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 47.1 -2.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 12.30 +.1 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.74 -3.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -110 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +9 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech/retail sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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