Thursday, May 07, 2015

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Less Eurozone Debt Angst, Lower Long-Term Rates, Yen Weakness, Homebuilding/Hospital Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.01 -.92%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.06 -.38%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.54 +.67%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 64.93 -2.78%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 106.0 +47.22%
  • Total Put/Call .91 -10.78%
  • NYSE Arms 1.15 +18.99% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 65.64 +.12%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,070.0 -.70%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 74.94 -.44%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 23.77 -4.80%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 60.81 +1.53%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 298.34 +.48%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 118.03 -.10%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.75 +1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 26.50 -1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.0 -1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 156.0 -4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $60.36/Metric Tonne -.87%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -64.70 +2.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 17.1 -1.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -13.9 +4.1 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.89 -2.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +101 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +10 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/medical/tech/retail sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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