Friday, May 08, 2015

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Less Eurozone/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Short-Covering, Biotech/Energy Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.18 -12.89%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.21 -.51%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.10 -3.72%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 64.32 -2.66%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 92.0 -8.0%
  • Total Put/Call .82 -11.83%
  • NYSE Arms .84 -20.89% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 63.22 -4.04%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,075.0 +.63%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 74.94 -4.18%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.88 -3.74%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 60.21 +.01%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 291.15 -2.59%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 118.0 -.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.5 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 26.5 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -21.0 +1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 157.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $61.40/Metric Tonne +1.72%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -64.30 +.4 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 14.2 -2.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -17.1 -3.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.88 -1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +336 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +23 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/medical/tech/retail sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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