Wednesday, July 01, 2015

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Greek Deal Hopes, Less Eurozone Debt Angst, Bargain-Hunting, Gaming/Insurance Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: About Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.18 -5.76%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.26 -.17%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.96 -1.32%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 61.08 -2.88%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 70.0 -30.0%
  • Total Put/Call 1.15 +2.68%
  • NYSE Arms 1.36 +5.01% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 69.11 -1.32%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,213.0 +7.0%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 87.48 -1.84%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 26.15 -8.71%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 58.72 -1.85%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 307.42 -.37%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.69 +.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.5 -1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 27.25 -2.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.75 +1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 173.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $59.20/Metric Tonne -.25%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -24.10 +4.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -4.9 +.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -21.40 +.9 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.91 +2.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +198 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -220 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -48 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my retail/medical/tech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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