Thursday, July 02, 2015

Stocks Reversing Lower into Afternoon on China Bubble-Bursting Fears, Greece Bailout Referendum Concerns, Global Growth Worries, Financial/Retail Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.05 +5.97%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 142.55 +.15%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.86 -.67%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 61.75 +2.37%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 62.0 -11.4%
  • Total Put/Call 1.0 -11.5%
  • NYSE Arms 1.06 -16.27% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 68.45 +.03%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,225.0 +.84%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 89.43 +2.22%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 25.49 -2.56%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 58.42 -1.17%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 301.89 -1.04%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.76 +.06%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.0 +1.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 27.25 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% unch.
  • Yield Curve 175.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $55.63/Metric Tonne -6.03%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -25.10 -1.0 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -4.4 +.5 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -18.60 +2.8 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.92 +1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -12 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -329 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -5 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my retail/medical sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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