Monday, August 03, 2015

Stocks Reversing Lower into Afternoon on Global Growth Concerns, China Bubble-Bursting Fears, Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Commodity/Technology Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.62 +4.13%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.72 -.3%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.42 +.64%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 57.93 unch.
  • ISE Sentiment Index 88.0 +25.71%
  • Total Put/Call .90 -17.43%
  • NYSE Arms 1.52 -15.86% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 71.48 +1.82%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,582.0 unch.
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 73.31 -.46%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.66 +1.23%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 63.84 +1.43%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 324.15 +1.87%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 121.10 +.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 23.75 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 24.75 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -19.75 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .06% unch.
  • Yield Curve 150.0 -3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $55.16/Metric Tonne +4.16%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -14.0 +1.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 5.6 -1.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -10.3 +1.1 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.70 -5.0 basis points
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 5.37 +.61
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -60 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -448 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -27 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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