Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Stocks Reversing Lower into Afternoon on China Bubble-Bursting Fears, Emerging Markets Currency Concerns, Global Growth Worries, Tech/Metals & Mining Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.81 +6.07%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 143.27 -.46%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.69 -.47%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 55.64 +1.57%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 101.0 +134.88%
  • Total Put/Call .91 +3.41%
  • NYSE Arms 1.08 +38.56% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 77.97 +1.84%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,908.0 +.55%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 75.75 +.19%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.48 +.56%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 70.86 -.42%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 344.80 +.32%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 119.05 -.35%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 23.75 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 25.75 +2.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.0 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .07% unch.
  • Yield Curve 147.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $56.92/Metric Tonne +.46%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -8.2 +1.0 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 10.8 +.6 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -6.2 -1.8 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.60 unch.
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 3.54 -.03
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -84 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -200 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -18 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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